SURVIVING THE PEACE
The Struggle for Postwar Recovery in Bosnia-Herzegovina
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Bosnia Update, Tuesday, August 11, 2026
OHR, Bosnia-Israel-US connections, and RS lobbying; Environmental problems;
Srebrenica
In my last blog entry I reported that High
Representative Christian Schmidt had resigned. Since then, the Peace
Implementation Council (PIC) has not succeeded in appointing a successor. Louis
Crishock, Schmidt's principal Deputy High Representative, was named as acting
HR. This may be satisfying to the American administration, since Crishock is an
American who is liable to promote the aims of the Trump regime.
It has become clearer that Schmidt resigned under pressure from the US, since he
was either unwilling to enforce Trump's agenda, or slow about doing it. This has
much to do with promotion of the Southern Gas Interconnection project, which is
simultaneously a way to relieve Bosnia-Herzegovina of its dependence on Russian
gas supplies (via Serbia), and a way to establish BiH as a consumer of American
gas.
While those for and against the gas pipeline project both ignore the fact that
Bosnia, along with the rest of the world, should really be focusing on renewable
fuel sources, it's also ignored that the percentage of gas as part of Bosnian
fuel consumption is actually small. The
total share of energy use by gas is just over 2%, while coal use is pushing
70%. Nevertheless, European policy—especially since the full-scale Russian
invasion of Ukraine in 2022—has promoted growing independence from all Russian
fuel sources, and this translates into support for the project of supplying gas
to Bosnia via a Croatian fuel terminal on the island of Krk.
Here is where the ever transaction-oriented American president takes notice,
recognizing a business opportunity. The problem with the construction of the
pipeline across Bosnia is that it necessarily crosses state-owned property. This
does not need to be expropriated, since it already belongs to the state. But a
property law decreed by High Representative Paddy Ashdown in 2005 requires that
the disposition of state-owned properties (including forests, rivers, airports,
agricultural land, and military installations) must be resolved at the state
level, which requires the two entities and the various political interests
involved to reconcile.
That has not happened and shows little promise of happening; rather, especially
in the Serb-controlled entity (RS), political operators and cronies of Dodik
simply take the right to buy state-owned land, illicitly, for their own profit.
In the Federation, Ashdown's law has been abused less, but the attraction of
resources (such as strategic minerals) on state land is strong, and leaders have
at times resorted to sidestepping existing laws. HR Schmidt himself has
complained that the property law has thwarted economic development, but he held
back from decreeing a legal resolution to the problem.
With Schmidt out of the way, we will see if acting HR Crishock is able to open
up the way to construction of the pipeline.
Relevant to all this, of course, is the RS lobbying project in Washington DC,
going back more than 10 years. In that period the entity has paid over $20
million to lobbyists, succeeding ultimately in having long-term sanctions
against Dodik, his family, and his business partners lifted. It took some years
to accomplish this, but Dodik's instinct was right: he and the US president are,
politically, on the same wavelength.
The RS engaged more than a dozen lobbyists and legal companies in the effort.
Here, an informal network involving Canadians, Israelis, and American figures
close to Trump acted together. One of the lobbyists is Ari Ben-Menashe, an
Israeli-Canadian businessman born in Iran. In the 1980s he was linked to the
Iran-Contra scandal, arrested in the US on charges of attempting to sell
military aircrafts to Iran. He was acquitted after explaining that he had been
acting on behalf of Israel. Ben-Menashe founded the Canadian company Dickens &
Madson, which received $4 million from the RS to lobby in Washington.
Another lobbyist, L. Marc Zell, is an Israeli-American lawyer who leads the
Israeli branch of the organization Republicans Overseas. In 1991 he formed Zell
& Associates International Advocates. During Trump's 2016 electoral campaign,
Zell declared that Jewish religious sources had predicted Trump's victory; in
2021 Zell followed Trump in denying that Biden had won the presidential
election. The RS has paid Zell's firm at least $1 million for helping to have
Dodik's sanctions removed, which took place in late 2025.
A recent visit to Israel by the Serb member of the state-level three-part
Bosnian presidency,
Željka Cvijanović,
underscores the RS-Israel-US connection and the commonality among
ultranationalists and autocrats. In late June
Cvijanović met with the Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, Gideon Sa'ar. Among
other things, the two discussed "the protection of the Christian minority in
Bosnia-Herzegovina." Sa'ar commented that the pair had discussed the
"significance of ever deeper relations between the two nations [sic]" and
declared, "Serbs are true friends of Israel and the Jewish people."
After this conference, Bosnian Foreign Minister Elvedin Konaković
addressed a note of protest to Israel, objecting to the fact that, while
Cvijanović represented the state of Bosnia, only the flag of the Republika
Srpska was displayed at the meeting.
Environmental problems
The proposed Southern Gas Interconnection pipeline is but one of many points of
intervention by international interests bent on exploiting the Bosnian economy
and its available resources. As I have outlined in detail in past series here (2025)
and here (2026),
mining companies from Australia, Switzerland, Great Britain, and Canada, to name
just a few, are all too pleased to explore for lithium, nickel, cobalt, zinc,
and other strategic minerals in mineral-rich Bosnia. And Bosnia's corrupt—or at
the very least accommodating—domestic leaders are happy to sell off their
country's riches, to the detriment of the pure air, land, and water.
Meanwhile, investors are in fact working to develop renewable sources of energy
on Bosnia's waterways, and on the wind-swept high plains of Herzegovina. This
makes sense intuitively but, unfortunately, there are two main problems with
such development. First, all of this development is implemented by private
companies, in harmony with the post-war tradition of profiteering. This leads to
complete disregard for the environment and the well-being of local communities.
Second, many of the wind farms and solar installations are encroaching on
private land, violating the prohibition on use of state property, and creating
more environmental problems than they solve. Such is the result of a "wild west"
economy that approaches neo-liberalism on steroids.
In other writing, I have described at length (especially
here)
the damage that has taken place in the region around Vareš as a result of mining
undertaken by the British company Adriatic Metals. This company, mining silver,
lead, zinc, and gold at Rupice, in the erstwhile pristine forests of central
Bosnia, came under the ownership of the Canadian company Dundee Precious Metals
in late 2025. Among communities hurt by the pollution from the mines and their
tailings dumps are
Pržići and Daštansko. Locals cite dust from the trucks that pass through these
towns on the way to dump mine tailings in the area.
Studies have lately shown that their air and land is harmed by lead dust, and
tests found traces of lead at alarmingly high levels in the blood of more than
300 residents. Environmental agencies have filed criminal charges against
Dundee, as well as against cantonal and regional government ministers for
failing to protect the population. One farmer commented that he feared that
there was lead in his hay. A local leader from
Daštansko
stated, "I don't blame the company and the mine, directly. They are just doing
what someone from the government has permitted. People with foreign capital came
to this corrupt state to do whatever they wanted to do, and now no one prevents
this. It is hard to fight against big capital."
The polluted water flowing from the area around the mine at Rupice combines with
the supply of drinking water for the town of Kakanj downstream. Heavy metals
have shown up in that water, with concentrations of barium much higher than what
is safe. Lead and zinc have been detected in the water as well. But the
municipality of Kakanj has stated that the local administration is not
responsible for monitoring the water supply.
In the Serb-populated hills of Ozren, between the main north-central Bosnian
towns of Doboj, Maglaj, and Gračanica,
a
struggle against mining
for nickel, cobalt, and other strategic minerals has been ongoing
for several years in resistance to prospecting by Lykos Balkan Metals. After it
was announced that this Australian, Bijeljina-based company was given permission
to begin exploration on Ozren, in mid-May residents of the town of
Sočkovac
held a referendum asking whether the local citizens supported or opposed the
prospecting. Activist Zoran Poljašević
stated that the mining of cancerogenic metals, one hundred meters from private
land, was unacceptable. In the poll, over 97% of voters came out against the
mining.
Soon after the referendum, local citizens
held a peaceful assembly in
Sočkovac, in spite of a prohibition of such gatherings by the RS Ministry of the
Interior. Speakers proclaimed, "Don't even try to start exploration, because you
won't dig, and you won't drill. You can call us criminals and target us as much
as you want, and ignore the referendum and
the will of the people, but today the free people from all sides say 'NO' to
mines on Ozren."
In spite of the protests, Lykos has pressed on with geological research,
preparing some 40 locations around the Ozren center of Petrovo, and even more
near Doboj. The environmental organization Ozrenski Studenac released a
statement asking, "Can the government agencies and security services really work
for the foreign occupiers, even though the citizens of Ozren in the Republika
Srpska have clearly come out against geological exploration?...Not even our
enemies in previous wars created as much damage as the mining threatens to do."
The above paragraphs concern a couple of the more well-known, long-term fights
against international mining, but practically every locality in the country has
its own problem. In western Bosnia, in May developers brought in earth-movers,
without permit, to an area between Livno and Glamoč
to prepare for a "wind park." This installation is planned in a region that is
famous for its population of wild horses, and it threatens their habitat. Locals
in opposition to the project say, "The government is keeping us in the fog about
five planned wind parks."
In Mostar, the notorious garbage dump at Uborak has caught fire at least six
times in the last three years. Uborak has been a place of pollution for years,
sparking local activism in opposition to the uncontrolled dumping of hazardous
substances. In late June fires in the dump spread to the warehouses and other
buildings, also destroying recycling machines. The fire department, armed
forces, and volunteers were called in to put out the blaze. Mostar was smogged
over and beset by the smell of fire. People were cautioned to close their
windows and stay inside. An outraged city councilman commented that people ought
to be warned "not to breathe," as there was no place safe to do so. Garbage
pickup was interrupted, and the public was requested not to dump their garbage
out on the streets.
The heat waves besetting most of Europe arrived in Bosnia-Herzegovina, with
temperatures in some places surpassing 40 C (104 F.). Between June and the first
half of July, there were 400 fires—bringing the total for the year to that date
up to 900.
Srebrenica
The 31st anniversary of the fall of the Srebrenica enclave and the accompanying
genocide, took place a month ago. On July 11, the remains of ten exhumed and
identified victims were reburied at the Potočari
Memorial Cemetery. Of those victims, the youngest was 20 years old in 1995, and
the oldest was 56. Of the more than 8,000 people massacred on the fall of the
enclave, 900 are still missing.
A part of the anniversary that has
become customary is the "reassociation" of remains that are identified after the
burial of the victim. This year, in the days after the funeral there were 48
graves that were re-opened in order to add bones to the graves. One relative of
a victim said, "Sometimes we find only several bones, spread apart in many
secondary graves. There are some convictions, but still many who are not
punished. We want the judiciary to do their job."
As part of the observation of the anniversary, thousands of people walked or
rode bicycles and motorcycles to Srebrenica for the funeral. At least 6,000
marched the 100 kilometers from Nezuk to Potočari,
for the 22nd year in a row retracing the route of those who fled oncoming Serb
forces in July of 1995. More than 2,000 bikers rode to Potočari, some coming
from as far away as Libya and Turkey.
Organizers of the march warned participants not to carry the flag of the pre-war
Republic of Bosnia-Herzegovina, nor the wartime flag of the Army of BiH. To
Bosniaks and other Bosnians, these flags are symbols of patriotism to a
multi-cultural state harking back to the prewar period. But to the separatists
who dominate the Republika Srpska entity, they are interpreted as a provocation.
In July, shortly before the commemoration, the RS Parliament adopted a law
prohibiting people in that entity from displaying the wartime flag of the army,
an offense now punishable by up to three years in prison. The new law is being
appealed, but for the time of the anniversary, it remained a threat to
participants.